{"id":74,"date":"2013-01-21T09:10:02","date_gmt":"2013-01-21T13:10:02","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.smartforecaster.net\/?p=74"},"modified":"2020-06-19T15:51:59","modified_gmt":"2020-06-19T19:51:59","slug":"promedio-no-la-respuesta","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/es\/blog\/promedio-no-la-respuesta\/","title":{"rendered":"El promedio no es la respuesta"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=\u201d1\u2033 admin_label=\u201dsection\u201d module_class=\u201dblog_css\u201d _builder_version=\u201d3.22\u2033 transparent_background=\u201doff\u201d make_fullwidth=\u201doff\u201d use_custom_width=\u201doff\u201d width_unit=\u201don\u201d][et_pb_row admin_label=\u201drow\u201d _builder_version=\u201d3.25\u2033 background_size=\u201dinitial\u201d background_position=\u201dtop_left\u201d background_repeat=\u201drepeat\u201d][et_pb_column type=\u201d4_4\u2033 _builder_version=\u201d3.0.47\u2033 custom_padding=\u201d|||\u201d 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80%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_column .et_pb_blog_grid .column.size-1of2, .et_pb_column .et_pb_widget:nth-child(n) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: 0 7.5% 7.5% 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 56% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 230px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 930px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 85%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 870px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 90%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 830px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 97%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 45px 20px 10px 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->width: 280px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding-bottom:20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_post .entry-featured-image-url {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_top_title {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 38px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 34px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article h2 a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 28px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 50px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>\n<p>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\u201dPOST CSS\u201d]<\/p>\n<style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1320px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 160px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 160px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 180px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1160px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(2) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display:none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 85px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 390px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts:after {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> clear: both;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article h2 a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 13.08px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 25px !important ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-top:2px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 0.7em !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 70px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 212px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(1) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 25px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(2) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 25px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 10px 30px 10px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 10px 30px 10px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts .et_pb_post .entry-featured-image-url {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts_title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 70px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul li a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 32px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #3c3c3c;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> list-style-type: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.categ_title {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul li{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 32px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #3c3c3c;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul li {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> list-style-type: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.share_blog{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin:5px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->div.wp_rp_content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: inherit !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: inherit !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post_soc {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: -55px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post-soc-icon a img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text ul li:before {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: #00964d;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 50%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 2px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 8px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text ul li {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> list-style-type: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-align: justify; <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #404040;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-style: italic;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text span{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-style: italic;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text strong{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 400;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 400px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 280px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 8px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single.et_pb_pagebuilder_layout.et_full_width_page .et_post_meta_wrapper {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-meta>a, .comments-number{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single.et_pb_pagebuilder_layout.et_full_width_page .et_post_meta_wrapper {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding: 120px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#left-area {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single .et_pb_post{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single .et_pb_post{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.subscribe_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: -60px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-top:40px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> max-width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 2px solid #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: 2px solid #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.categ_title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-weight: bold;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.categ_title:after {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: 'f0dd ';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: fontawesome;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: 5px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb ul{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb ul.baccc {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 850px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> max-width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 190px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>\n<p>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. 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[et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-color: #d6d6d6 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 44px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-width: 1px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: transparent !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #ccc !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-email input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 270px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-left: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-right: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-color: #d6d6d6 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 44px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> 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text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d body_quote_text_shadow_horizontal_length_phone=\u201d0px\u201d body_quote_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d body_quote_text_shadow_vertical_length_phone=\u201d0px\u201d body_quote_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=\u201d1px\u201d body_quote_text_shadow_blur_strength_phone=\u201d1px\u201d button_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d button_text_shadow_horizontal_length_phone=\u201d0em\u201d button_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d button_text_shadow_vertical_length_phone=\u201d0em\u201d button_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d button_text_shadow_blur_strength_phone=\u201d0em\u201d box_shadow_horizontal_image_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_horizontal_image_phone=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_vertical_image_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_vertical_image_phone=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_blur_image_tablet=\u201d40px\u201d box_shadow_blur_image_phone=\u201d40px\u201d box_shadow_spread_image_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_spread_image_phone=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_horizontal_button_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_horizontal_button_phone=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_vertical_button_table t=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_vertical_button_phone=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_blur_button_tablet=\u201d40px\u201d box_shadow_blur_button_phone=\u201d40px\u201d box_shadow_spread_button_tablet=\u201d0px\u201d box_shadow_spread_button_phone=\u201d0px\u201d text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d text_shadow_horizontal_length_phone=\u201d0em\u201d text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d text_shadow_vertical_length_phone=\u201d0em\u201d text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=\u201d0em\u201d text_shadow_blur_strength_phone=\u201d0em\u201d]<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">Recomendaciones para la planificaci\u00f3n de la demanda,<\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">previsi\u00f3n y optimizaci\u00f3n de inventario<\/h1>\n<p>[\/et_pb_slide][\/et_pb_fullwidth_slider][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=\u201d1\u2033 especialidad=\u201dactivado\u201d parallax_method_1=\u201ddesactivado\u201d parallax_method_2=\u201ddesactivado\u201d module_class_1=\u201dblog_col\u201d module_class_2=\u201dsitebar_col\u201d module_class=\u201dbloggg\u201d _builder_version =\u201d3.22\u2033 transparent_background=\u201doff\u201d make_fullwidth=\u201doff\u201d use_custom_width=\u201doff\u201d width_unit=\u201don\u201d][et_pb_column type=\u201d2_3\u2033 special_columns=\u201d2\u2033 _builder_version=\u201d3.25\u2033 custom_padding=\u201d|||\u201d custom_padding__hover=\u201d|||\u201d][et_pb_row_inner admin_label=\u201dRow\u201d module_class=\u201dblog_glob\u201d _builder_version=\u201d3.25\u2033][et_pb_column_inner Saved_specialty_column_type=\u201d2_3\u2033 _builder_version=\u201d3.25\u2033 custom_padding=\u201d|||\u201d custom_padding__hover=\u201d|||\u201d][et_pb_code module_class=\u201dappend_categ\u201d]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 767 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".append_categ\").append($(\"#categories-bbb\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=\u201dCONTENT\u201d module_class=\u201dpost-main_text\u201d _builder_version=\u201d3.27.4\u2033 background_size=\u201dinitial\u201d background_position=\u201dtop_left\u201d background_repeat=\u201drepeat\u201d use_border_color=\u201doff\u201d border_color=\u201d#ffffff\u201d border_style=\u201ds\u00f3lido\u201d]<\/p>\n<p>\nLas fluctuaciones en una cadena de suministro de inventario son inevitables. La aleatoriedad, que puede ser fuente de confusi\u00f3n y frustraci\u00f3n, lo garantiza. Un barco que transporta mercanc\u00edas desde China puede retrasarse debido a una tormenta en el mar. Un aumento repentino en la demanda un d\u00eda puede acabar con el inventario en un solo d\u00eda, dej\u00e1ndolo incapaz de satisfacer la demanda del d\u00eda siguiente. La aleatoriedad crea fricciones que dificultan el trabajo.<\/p>\n<p>A primera vista, a veces parece mejor responder al azar con el enfoque del avestruz: la cabeza enterrada en la arena. Puede establecer una predicci\u00f3n y proceder suponiendo que la predicci\u00f3n siempre ser\u00e1 acertada. La falla en ese enfoque es que ignora los m\u00e9todos estad\u00edsticos que nos permiten hacer uso de una gran cantidad de conocimiento sobre nuestro conocimiento en s\u00ed mismo: cu\u00e1n seguros podemos estar en nuestras predicciones y qu\u00e9 amplitud de posibilidades enfrentamos. El enfoque eficiente para abordar los problemas que surgen de la aleatoriedad no es ignorar la incertidumbre, sino aceptarla con los ojos abiertos.<\/p>\n<p>Como principio fundamental del enfoque de Smart Software para <a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/es\/worst-practices-forecasting-2\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">pron\u00f3stico<\/a>, siempre le proporcionaremos una evaluaci\u00f3n del nivel de incertidumbre en los pron\u00f3sticos. Si no espera nada m\u00e1s que una cifra absoluta (la demanda de dispositivos en febrero ser\u00e1 de 120 unidades), puede descartar el elemento adicional de incertidumbre como algo negativo o perder la fe en un pron\u00f3stico que esperaba que fuera definitivo. Pero defendemos lo que consideramos el enfoque adulto; necesita saber lo que est\u00e1 arriesgando cuando se compromete con un pron\u00f3stico y basa su toma de decisiones en \u00e9l.<\/p>\n<p>Sus pron\u00f3sticos pueden tener grandes consecuencias que van m\u00e1s all\u00e1 de los niveles de existencias de inventario. Pueden determinar sus necesidades de materias primas o los niveles de personal: los pron\u00f3sticos impulsan muchas decisiones importantes de asignaci\u00f3n de recursos. Si tiene demasiada fe en el resultado m\u00e1s probable, sin considerar espec\u00edficamente qu\u00e9 tan probable es, realmente no est\u00e1 comprendiendo los riesgos que enfrenta y puede colocarse en una posici\u00f3n precaria.<\/p>\n<p>La necesidad de tomar decisiones plenamente informadas nos obliga a ver, en un pron\u00f3stico, el rango positivo\/negativo de resultados con cierta probabilidad de ocurrencia. En el caso espec\u00edfico de los pron\u00f3sticos que van a los sistemas de inventario, esta es una parte importante de la planificaci\u00f3n deliberada para las contingencias. As\u00ed es como determina no solo el inventario que necesita mantener para satisfacer la demanda t\u00edpica, sino tambi\u00e9n el inventario adicional que necesita para hacer frente a la mayor\u00eda de los resultados inesperados.<\/p>\n<p>Esta importancia solo aumenta cuando intenta mantener un almac\u00e9n confiable de repuestos cr\u00edticos. Entre el costo de almacenar inventario adicional y tener en cuenta el grado de confiabilidad en sus pron\u00f3sticos, existe un equilibrio que cristaliza cuando un avi\u00f3n que necesita en el aire queda en tierra, porque no tiene el reemplazo de una pieza da\u00f1ada.<\/p>\n<p>(Si bien el almacenamiento de inventario adicional se basa en el extremo superior del rango de incertidumbre, si el flujo de efectivo es limitado, es el extremo inferior del rango el que se vuelve importante. Los usuarios con mentalidad de tesorer\u00eda encuentran valor en este otro lado de la incertidumbre en escenarios donde incluso el m\u00ednimo exceso de existencias puede ser un problema mayor que una oportunidad de venta perdida, por ejemplo. La informaci\u00f3n confiable sobre los resultados probables m\u00e1s bajos vale la pena en este momento).<\/p>\n<p>La teor\u00eda del inventario dice que debe pensar en los extremos exteriores de las posibilidades probables y prepararse para hacer frente a m\u00e1s escenarios adem\u00e1s de lo que es m\u00e1s probable. La aleatoriedad es una realidad que no se puede ignorar. El promedio no es la respuesta.<\/p>\n<p><em>Thomas Willemain, PhD, cofund\u00f3 Smart Software y actualmente se desempe\u00f1a como vicepresidente s\u00e9nior de investigaci\u00f3n. El Dr. Willemain tambi\u00e9n se desempe\u00f1a como Profesor Em\u00e9rito de Ingenier\u00eda Industrial y de Sistemas en el Instituto Polit\u00e9cnico Rensselaer y como miembro del personal de investigaci\u00f3n en el Centro de Ciencias de la Computaci\u00f3n, Instituto de An\u00e1lisis de Defensa.<\/em><\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/es\/optimizacion-de-inventario\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-1527 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/optim_bottom.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"700\" height=\"250\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/optim_bottom.png 700w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/04\/optim_bottom-480x171.png 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 700px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code module_class=\u201dcomment_sect\u201d]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. 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Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 767 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".append_subs\").append($(\".ghj\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code module_class=\u201dappend_share\u201d]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 768 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".append_share\").append($(\".post_soc\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text disabled_on=\u201don||\u201d module_class=\u201drelposts_title\u201d _builder_version=\u201d3.27.4\u2033 background_size=\u201dinitial\u201d background_position=\u201dtop_left\u201d background_repeat=\u201drepeat\u201d text_orientation=\u201dcenter\u201d module_alignment=\u201dcenter\u201d use_border_color=\u201doff\u201d border_color=\u201d#ffffff\u201d border_style=\u201d s\u00f3lido&quot;]<\/p>\n<p>\nArt\u00edculos 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[et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_bg {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-right: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_about_us_bg {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_bottom_text{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_learn_more_bg,.f_contact_us_bg,.subscribe_ff {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 262px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_learn_more_text ul li{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.glob-footer {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .f_contact_us_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-bottom:20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_text img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 6px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_share img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 7px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>\n<p>[\/et_pb_fullwidth_code][et_pb_fullwidth_code _builder_version=\u201d3.19.11\u2033]<!-- Yandex.Metrika counter --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><script type=\"text\/javascript\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> (function (d, w, c) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> (w[c] = w[c] || []).push(function() {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> try {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> w.yaCounter44997919 = new Ya.Metrika({<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> id:44997919,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> clickmap:true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> trackLinks:true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> accurateTrackBounce:true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> webvisor:true,<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> trackHash:true<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> } catch(e) { }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> });<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> var n = d.getElementsByTagName(\"script\")[0],<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> s = d.createElement(\"script\"),<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> f = function () { n.parentNode.insertBefore(s, n); };<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> s.type = \"text\/javascript\";<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> s.async = true;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> s.src = \"https:\/\/mc.yandex.ru\/metrika\/watch.js\";<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if (w.opera == \"[object Opera]\") {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> d.addEventListener(\"DOMContentLoaded\", f, false);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> } else { f(); }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> })(document, window, \"yandex_metrika_callbacks\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><noscript><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/noscript><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- \/Yandex.Metrika counter -->[\/et_pb_fullwidth_code][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Las fluctuaciones en una cadena de suministro de inventario son inevitables. La aleatoriedad, que puede ser fuente de confusi\u00f3n y frustraci\u00f3n, lo garantiza. Un barco que transporta mercanc\u00edas desde China puede retrasarse debido a una tormenta en el mar. Un aumento repentino en la demanda un d\u00eda puede acabar con el inventario en un solo d\u00eda, dej\u00e1ndolo incapaz de satisfacer la demanda del d\u00eda siguiente. La aleatoriedad crea fricciones que dificultan el trabajo.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":122,"featured_media":1567,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"Fluctuations in an inventory supply chain are inevitable. Randomness, which can be a source of confusion and frustration, guarantees it. A ship carrying goods from China may be delayed by a storm at sea. A sudden upswing in demand one day can wipe out inventory in a single day, leaving you unable to meet the next day's demand. Randomness creates frictions that make it hard to do your job.\r\n\r\nAt first blush, it sometimes seems best to respond to randomness with the ostrich approach: head buried in the sand. You can settle on a prediction and proceed on the assumption that the prediction will always be spot on. The flaw in that approach is that it ignores statistical methods that allow us to make use of a wealth of knowledge about our knowledge itself\u2014how confident we can be in our predictions, and what breadth of possibilities confront us. The efficient approach to tackling the problems that stem from randomness is not to ignore uncertainty, but to embrace it with eyes open.\r\n\r\n<!--more-->\r\n\r\nAs a fundamental tenet of Smart Software's approach to forecasting, we will always provide you with an assessment of the level of uncertainty in forecasts. If you are expecting nothing more than an absolute figure\u2014the demand for widgets in February will be 120 units\u2014you may dismiss the added element of uncertainty as a negative, or lose faith in a forecast you had hoped would be definite. But we argue for what we consider the adult approach; you need to know what you are risking when you commit to a forecast and premise your decision-making upon it.\r\n\r\nYour forecasts can have big consequences that go beyond inventory stocking levels. They can determine your raw materials needs or staffing levels\u2014forecasts drive many important resource allocation decisions. If you have too much faith in the most likely outcome, without also specifically considering just how likely it is, you aren't really understanding the risks you face, and you may put yourself in a precarious position.\r\n\r\nThe need to make fully informed decisions forces us to see, in a forecast, the plus\/minus range of results with a certain likelihood of occurring. In the specific case of forecasts that are going into inventory systems, this is an important part of deliberately planning for contingencies. This is how you determine not only the inventory you need to maintain in order to satisfy typical demand, but also the additional inventory you need on hand to deal with most unexpected outcomes.\r\n\r\nThis importance only increases when you are trying to maintain a reliable store of critical spare parts. Between the cost of stocking additional inventory, and accounting for the degree of reliability in your forecasts, there is a balance that crystallizes when an airplane that you need in the air is grounded\u2014because you don't have the replacement for a damaged part.\r\n\r\n(While stocking extra inventory relies on the high end of the uncertainty range, if cash flow is tight, it's the low end of the range that becomes important. Treasury-minded users find value in this other side of uncertainty in scenarios where even minimal overstocking can be more of a problem than a missed sales opportunity, for example. Reliable information about the lowest likely outcomes pays off at this time.)\r\n\r\nInventory theory says that you need to think about the outer ends of likely possibilities and prepare to cope with more scenarios than just what is most likely. Randomness is a reality that can't be ignored. The average is not the answer.\r\n\r\n<i>Thomas Willemain, PhD, co-founded Smart Software and currently serves as Senior Vice President for Research. Dr. Willemain also serves as Professor Emeritus of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute and as a member of the research staff at the Center for Computing Sciences, Institute for Defense Analyses.<\/i>","_et_gb_content_width":"","content-type":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[205,30],"tags":[60,61,31,62,63,64,65,66,67,35,58,68,69],"class_list":["post-74","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-blog","category-forecasting","tag-average","tag-contingencies","tag-forecasting-2","tag-inventory","tag-overstocking","tag-randomness","tag-raw-materials","tag-reliability","tag-staffing","tag-stocking","tag-supply-chain","tag-uncertainty","tag-understocking"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.6 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The Average is Not the Answer - Smart SOFTWARE<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"The smart approach to randomness in the inventory supply chain is to look beyond simple averages and consider measured uncertainty.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/es\/blog\/promedio-no-la-respuesta\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Average is Not the Answer - 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