{"id":5579,"date":"2022-02-04T10:21:50","date_gmt":"2022-02-04T14:21:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/inventory-optimization\/maximize-machine-uptime-with-probabilistic-forecasting-copy\/"},"modified":"2022-12-20T15:11:41","modified_gmt":"2022-12-20T19:11:41","slug":"pronostico-probabilistico-planificacion-demanda","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/es\/blog\/probabilistic-forecasting-planning-demand\/","title":{"rendered":"Introducci\u00f3n a la predicci\u00f3n probabil\u00edstica"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>[et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;section&#8221; module_class=&#8221;blog_css&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_row admin_label=&#8221;row&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; 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-->.sitebar_col{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 230px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 930px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 85%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 870px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 90%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 830px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 97%;<!-- 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box_shadow_spread_image_phone=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_horizontal_button_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_horizontal_button_phone=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_vertical_button_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_vertical_button_phone=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_blur_button_tablet=&#8221;40px&#8221; box_shadow_blur_button_phone=&#8221;40px&#8221; box_shadow_spread_button_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_spread_button_phone=&#8221;0px&#8221; text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0em&#8221; text_shadow_horizontal_length_phone=&#8221;0em&#8221; text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0em&#8221; text_shadow_vertical_length_phone=&#8221;0em&#8221; text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;0em&#8221; text_shadow_blur_strength_phone=&#8221;0em&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; sticky_transition=&#8221;on&#8221;]<\/p>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">\u00a0Pursuing best practices in demand planning,<\/h1>\n<h1 style=\"text-align: center;\">forecasting and inventory optimization<\/h1>\n<p>[\/et_pb_slide][\/et_pb_fullwidth_slider][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section fb_built=&#8221;1&#8243; specialty=&#8221;on&#8221; parallax_method_1=&#8221;off&#8221; parallax_method_2=&#8221;off&#8221; module_class_1=&#8221;blog_col&#8221; module_class_2=&#8221;sitebar_col&#8221; module_class=&#8221;bloggg&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; transparent_background=&#8221;off&#8221; make_fullwidth=&#8221;off&#8221; use_custom_width=&#8221;off&#8221; width_unit=&#8221;on&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column type=&#8221;2_3&#8243; specialty_columns=&#8221;2&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_row_inner admin_label=&#8221;Row&#8221; module_class=&#8221;blog_glob&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][et_pb_column_inner saved_specialty_column_type=&#8221;2_3&#8243; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; custom_padding=&#8221;|||&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221; custom_padding__hover=&#8221;|||&#8221;][et_pb_code module_class=&#8221;append_categ&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 767 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".append_categ\").append($(\"#categories-bbb\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If you keep up with the news about <a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/supply-chain-analytics-software\/%22>supply chain analytics,<\/a> you are more frequently encountering the phrase \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d If this phrase is puzzling, read on.<\/p>\n<p>You probably already know what \u201cforecasting\u201d means. And you probably also know that there seem to be lots of different ways to do it. And you\u2019ve probably heard pungent little phrases like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d So you know that some kind of <a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/?s=mathemagic%22>mathemagic<\/a> might calculate that \u201cthe forecast is you will sell 100 units next month\u201d, and then you might sell 110 units, in which case you have a 10% forecast error.<\/p>\n<p>You may not know that what I just described is a particular kind of forecast called a \u201cpoint forecast.\u201d A point forecast is so named because it consists of just a single number (i.e., one point on the number line, if you recall the number line from your youth).<\/p>\n<p><a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/defining-a-good-forecast\/%22>Point forecasts<\/a> have one virtue: They are simple. They also have a flaw: They give rise to snarky statements like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d That is, in most realistic cases, it is unlikely that the actual value will exactly equal the forecast. (Which isn\u2019t such a big deal if the forecast is close enough.)<\/p>\n<p>This gets us to \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d This approach is a step up, because instead of producing a single-number (point) forecast, it yields a probability distribution for the forecast. And unlike traditional extrapolative models that rely purely on the historical data, probabilistic forecasts have the ability to simulate future values that aren\u2019t anchored to the past.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProbability distribution\u201d is a forbidding phrase, evoking some arcane math that you may have heard of but never studied. Luckily, most adults have enough life experience to have an intuitive grasp of the concept.  When broken down, it\u2019s quite straightforward to understand.<\/p>\n<p><a href=%22#%22>Imagine the simple act of flipping two coins<\/a>. You might call this harmless fun, but I call it a \u201cprobabilistic experiment.\u201d The total number of heads that turn up on the two coins will be either zero, one or two. Flipping two coins is a \u201crandom experiment.\u201d The resulting number of heads is a \u201crandom variable.\u201d It has a \u201cprobability distribution\u201d, which is nothing more than a table of how likely it is that the random variable will turn out to have any of its possible values. The probability of getting two heads when the coins are fair works out to be \u00bc, as is the probability of no heads. The chance of one head is \u00bd.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>If you keep up with the news about <a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/supply-chain-analytics-software\/%22>supply chain analytics,<\/a> you are more frequently encountering the phrase \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d If this phrase is puzzling, read on.<\/p>\n<p>You probably already know what \u201cforecasting\u201d means. And you probably also know that there seem to be lots of different ways to do it. And you\u2019ve probably heard pungent little phrases like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d So you know that some kind of <a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/?s=mathemagic%22>mathemagic<\/a> might calculate that \u201cthe forecast is you will sell 100 units next month\u201d, and then you might sell 110 units, in which case you have a 10% forecast error.<\/p>\n<p>You may not know that what I just described is a particular kind of forecast called a \u201cpoint forecast.\u201d A point forecast is so named because it consists of just a single number (i.e., one point on the number line, if you recall the number line from your youth).<\/p>\n<p><a href=%22https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/defining-a-good-forecast\/%22>Point forecasts<\/a> have one virtue: They are simple. They also have a flaw: They give rise to snarky statements like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d That is, in most realistic cases, it is unlikely that the actual value will exactly equal the forecast. (Which isn\u2019t such a big deal if the forecast is close enough.)<\/p>\n<p>This gets us to \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d This approach is a step up, because instead of producing a single-number (point) forecast, it yields a probability distribution for the forecast. And unlike traditional extrapolative models that rely purely on the historical data, probabilistic forecasts have the ability to simulate future values that aren\u2019t anchored to the past.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProbability distribution\u201d is a forbidding phrase, evoking some arcane math that you may have heard of but never studied. Luckily, most adults have enough life experience to have an intuitive grasp of the concept.  When broken down, it\u2019s quite straightforward to understand.<\/p>\n<p><a href=%22#%22>Imagine the simple act of flipping two coins<\/a>. You might call this harmless fun, but I call it a \u201cprobabilistic experiment.\u201d The total number of heads that turn up on the two coins will be either zero, one or two. Flipping two coins is a \u201crandom experiment.\u201d The resulting number of heads is a \u201crandom variable.\u201d It has a \u201cprobability distribution\u201d, which is nothing more than a table of how likely it is that the random variable will turn out to have any of its possible values. The probability of getting two heads when the coins are fair works out to be \u00bc, as is the probability of no heads. The chance of one head is \u00bd.<\/p>\n<p>&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; admin_label=&#8221;CONTENT&#8221; module_class=&#8221;post-main_text&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; text_font_size=&#8221;27px&#8221; header_4_text_color=&#8221;#0c71c3&#8243; background_size=&#8221;initial&#8221; background_position=&#8221;top_left&#8221; background_repeat=&#8221;repeat&#8221; z_index_tablet=&#8221;500&#8243; text_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; text_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; text_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; link_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; link_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; link_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; ul_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; ul_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; ul_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; ol_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; ol_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; ol_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; quote_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; quote_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; quote_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_2_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_2_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_2_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_3_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_3_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_3_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_4_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_4_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_4_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_5_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_5_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_5_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; header_6_text_shadow_horizontal_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_6_text_shadow_vertical_length_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; header_6_text_shadow_blur_strength_tablet=&#8221;1px&#8221; box_shadow_horizontal_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_vertical_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; box_shadow_blur_tablet=&#8221;40px&#8221; box_shadow_spread_tablet=&#8221;0px&#8221; use_border_color=&#8221;off&#8221; locked=&#8221;off&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>If you keep up with the news about <a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/supply-chain-analytics-software\/\">supply chain analytics,<\/a> you are more frequently encountering the phrase \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d If this phrase is puzzling, read on.<\/p>\n<p>You probably already know what \u201cforecasting\u201d means. And you probably also know that there seem to be lots of different ways to do it. And you\u2019ve probably heard pungent little phrases like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d So you know that some kind of <a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/?s=mathemagic\">mathemagic<\/a> might calculate that \u201cthe forecast is you will sell 100 units next month\u201d, and then you might sell 110 units, in which case you have a 10% forecast error.<\/p>\n<p>You may not know that what I just described is a particular kind of forecast called a \u201cpoint forecast.\u201d A point forecast is so named because it consists of just a single number (i.e., one point on the number line, if you recall the number line from your youth).<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/blog\/defining-a-good-forecast\/\">Point forecasts<\/a> have one virtue: They are simple. They also have a flaw: They give rise to snarky statements like \u201cevery forecast is wrong.\u201d That is, in most realistic cases, it is unlikely that the actual value will exactly equal the forecast. (Which isn\u2019t such a big deal if the forecast is close enough.)<\/p>\n<p>This gets us to \u201cprobabilistic forecasting.\u201d This approach is a step up, because instead of producing a single-number (point) forecast, it yields a probability distribution for the forecast. And unlike traditional extrapolative models that rely purely on the historical data, probabilistic forecasts have the ability to simulate future values that aren\u2019t anchored to the past.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cProbability distribution\u201d is a forbidding phrase, evoking some arcane math that you may have heard of but never studied. Luckily, most adults have enough life experience to have an intuitive grasp of the concept.\u00a0 When broken down, it\u2019s quite straightforward to understand.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"#\">Imagine the simple act of flipping two coins<\/a>. You might call this harmless fun, but I call it a \u201cprobabilistic experiment.\u201d The total number of heads that turn up on the two coins will be either zero, one or two. Flipping two coins is a \u201crandom experiment.\u201d The resulting number of heads is a \u201crandom variable.\u201d It has a \u201cprobability distribution\u201d, which is nothing more than a table of how likely it is that the random variable will turn out to have any of its possible values. The probability of getting two heads when the coins are fair works out to be \u00bc, as is the probability of no heads. The chance of one head is \u00bd.<\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_video src=&#8221;https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/VIDEO-PROBABILISTIC-DATA-SCIENCE-SMART-COMPUTING.mp4&#8243; admin_label=&#8221;Video&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_video][et_pb_text content_tablet=&#8221;&#8221; content_phone=&#8221;&#8221; content_last_edited=&#8221;on|phone&#8221; admin_label=&#8221;Text&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; _module_preset=&#8221;default&#8221; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<\/p>\n<p>The same approach can describe a more interesting random variable, like the daily demand for a spare part.\u00a0 Figure 2 shows such a probability distribution. It was computed by compiling three years of daily demand data on a certain part used in a scientific instrument sold to hospitals.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_5582\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5582\" class=\"wp-image-5582 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_1-1024x105.jpg\" alt=\"Probabilistic demand forecast 1\" width=\"1024\" height=\"105\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_1-1024x105.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_1-980x100.jpg 980w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_1-480x49.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-5582\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 1: The probability distribution of daily demand for a certain spare part<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The distribution in Figure 1 can be thought of as a probabilistic forecast of demand in a single day. For this particular part, we see that the forecast is very likely to be zero (97% chance), but sometimes will be for a handful of units, and once in three years will be twenty units. Even though the most likely forecast is zero, you would want to keep a few on hand if this part were critical (\u201c\u2026for want of a nail&#8230;\u201d)<\/p>\n<p>Now let\u2019s use this information to make a more complicated probabilistic forecast. Suppose you have three units on hand. How many days will it take for you to have none? There are many possible answers, ranging from a single day (if you immediately get a demand for three or more) up to a very large number (since 97% of days see no demand).\u00a0 The analysis of this question is a bit complicated because of all the many ways this situation can play out, but the final answer that is most informative will be a probability distribution. It turns out that the number of days until there are no units left in stock has the distribution shown in Figure 2.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_5583\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5583\" class=\"wp-image-5583 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_2-1024x506.jpg\" alt=\"Probabilistic demand forecast 2\" width=\"1024\" height=\"506\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_2-1024x506.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_2-980x485.jpg 980w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_2-480x237.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-5583\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 2: Distribution of the number of days until all three units are gone<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>The average number of days is 74, which would be a point forecast, but there is a lot of variation around the average. From the perspective of inventory management, it is notable that there is a 25% chance that all the units will be gone after 32 days. So if you decided to order more when you were down to only three on the shelf, it would be good to have the supplier get them to you before a month has passed. If they couldn\u2019t, you\u2019d have a 75% chance of stocking out \u2013 not good for a critical part.<\/p>\n<p>The analysis behind Figure 2 involved making some assumptions that were convenient but not necessary if they were not true. The results came from a method called \u201cMonte Carlo simulation\u201d, in which we start with three units, pick a random demand from the distribution in Figure 1, subtract it from the current stock, and continue until the stock is gone, recording how many days went by before you ran out. Repeating this process 100,000 times produced Figure 2.<\/p>\n<p>Applications of Monte Carlo simulation extend to problems of even larger scope than the \u201cwhen do we run out\u201d example above. Especially important are Monte Carlo forecasts of future demand. While the usual forecasting result is a set of point forecasts (e.g., expected unit demand over the next twelve months), we know that there are any number of ways that the actual demand could play out. Simulation could be used to produce, say, one thousand possible sets of 365 daily demand demands.<\/p>\n<p>This set of demand scenarios would more fully expose the range of possible situations with which an inventory system would have to cope. This use of simulation is called \u201cstress testing\u201d, because it exposes a system to a range of varied but realistic scenarios, including some nasty ones. Those scenarios are then input to mathematical models of the system to see how well it will cope, as reflected in key performance indicators (KPI\u2019s). For instance, in those thousand simulated years of operation, how many stockouts are there in the worst year? the average year? the best year? In fact, what is the full probability distribution of the number of stockouts in a year, and what is the distribution of their size?<\/p>\n<p>Figures 3 and 4 illustrate probabilistic modeling of an inventory control system that converts stockouts to backorders. The system simulated uses a Min\/Max control policy with Min = 10 units and Max = 20 units.<\/p>\n<p>Figure 3 shows one simulated year of daily operations in four plots. The first plot shows a particular pattern of random daily demand in which average demand increases steadily from Monday to Friday but disappears on weekends. The second plot shows the number of units on hand each day. Note that there are a dozen times during this simulated year when inventory goes negative, indicating stockouts. The third plot shows the size and timing of replenishment orders. The fourth plot shows the size and timing of backorders.\u00a0 The information in these plots can be translated into estimates of inventory investment, average units on hand, holding costs, ordering costs and shortage costs.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_5584\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5584\" class=\"wp-image-5584 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_3-1024x550.jpg\" alt=\"Probabilistic demand forecast 3\" width=\"1024\" height=\"550\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_3-1024x550.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_3-980x526.jpg 980w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_3-480x258.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-5584\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 3: One simulated year of inventory system operation<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Figure 3 shows one of one thousand simulated years. Each year will have different daily demands, resulting in different values of metrics like units on hand and the various components of operating cost. Figure 4 plots the distribution of 1,000 simulated values of four KPI\u2019s. Simulating 1,000 years of imagined operation exposes the range of possible results so that planners can account not just for average results but also see best-case and worst-case values.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_5585\" style=\"width: 1034px\" class=\"wp-caption alignnone\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-5585\" class=\"wp-image-5585 size-large\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_4-1024x677.jpg\" alt=\"Probabilistic demand forecast 4\" width=\"1024\" height=\"677\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_4-1024x677.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_4-980x648.jpg 980w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/03\/Probabilistic_demand_forecast_4-480x317.jpg 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) and (max-width: 980px) 980px, (min-width: 981px) 1024px, 100vw\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-5585\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">Figure 4: Distributions of four KPI\u2019s based on 1,000 simulations<\/p><\/div>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Monte Carlo simulation is a low-math\/high-results approach to probabilistic forecasting: very practical and easy to explain. Advanced probabilistic forecasting methods employed by Smart Software expand upon standard Monte Carlo simulation, yielding extremely accurate estimates of required inventory levels.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/demandplanner\/\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter wp-image-1523 size-full\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/demand_bottom.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"1280\" height=\"875\" srcset=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/demand_bottom.png 1280w, https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2016\/08\/demand_bottom-480x171.png 480w\" sizes=\"(min-width: 0px) and (max-width: 480px) 480px, (min-width: 481px) 1280px, 100vw\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code module_class=&#8221;comment_sect&#8221; _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. 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type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wpcf7_posted_data_hash\" value=\"\" \/><input type=\"hidden\" name=\"_wpcf7_recaptcha_response\" value=\"\" \/>\n<\/fieldset>\n<div class=\"download-form\">\n\t<p><span class=\"wpcf7-form-control-wrap\" data-name=\"text-284\"><input size=\"40\" maxlength=\"400\" class=\"wpcf7-form-control wpcf7-text wpcf7-validates-as-required dwl-fname\" id=\"dwl-f-name\" aria-required=\"true\" aria-invalid=\"false\" placeholder=\"First Name\" value=\"\" type=\"text\" name=\"text-284\" \/><\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n\t<p><span class=\"wpcf7-form-control-wrap\" data-name=\"email-647\"><input size=\"40\" maxlength=\"400\" class=\"wpcf7-form-control wpcf7-email wpcf7-validates-as-required wpcf7-text wpcf7-validates-as-email dwl_email\" id=\"dwl-email\" aria-required=\"true\" aria-invalid=\"false\" placeholder=\"Work Email\" value=\"\" type=\"email\" name=\"email-647\" \/><\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n\t<p><span class=\"wpcf7-form-control-wrap\" data-name=\"text-288\"><input size=\"40\" maxlength=\"400\" class=\"wpcf7-form-control wpcf7-text wpcf7-validates-as-required dwl-fname\" aria-required=\"true\" aria-invalid=\"false\" placeholder=\"Company\" value=\"\" type=\"text\" name=\"text-288\" \/><\/span>\n\t<\/p>\n\t<p><input class=\"wpcf7-form-control wpcf7-submit has-spinner dwl_submit\" id=\"dwl-submit\" type=\"submit\" value=\"Subscribe\" \/>\n\t<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><script>\ndocument.addEventListener( 'wpcf7mailsent', function( event ) {\n location = 'https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/thank_you_business\/';\n}, false );\n<\/script>\n<\/p><p style=\"display: none !important;\" class=\"akismet-fields-container\" data-prefix=\"_wpcf7_ak_\"><label>&#916;<textarea name=\"_wpcf7_ak_hp_textarea\" cols=\"45\" rows=\"8\" maxlength=\"100\"><\/textarea><\/label><input type=\"hidden\" id=\"ak_js_1\" name=\"_wpcf7_ak_js\" value=\"151\"\/><script>document.getElementById( \"ak_js_1\" ).setAttribute( \"value\", ( new Date() ).getTime() );<\/script><\/p><div class=\"wpcf7-response-output\" 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-->.f_contact_us_share img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 7px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>\n<p>[\/et_pb_fullwidth_code][et_pb_fullwidth_code _builder_version=&#8221;4.16&#8243; global_colors_info=&#8221;{}&#8221;][\/et_pb_fullwidth_code][\/et_pb_section]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Si se mantiene al d\u00eda con las noticias sobre el an\u00e1lisis de la cadena de suministro, se encontrar\u00e1 con m\u00e1s frecuencia con la frase &quot;pron\u00f3stico probabil\u00edstico&quot;. Los pron\u00f3sticos probabil\u00edsticos tienen la capacidad de simular valores futuros que no est\u00e1n anclados al pasado. Si esta frase es desconcertante, sigue leyendo.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":122,"featured_media":5589,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_et_pb_use_builder":"on","_et_pb_old_content":"<p>[et_pb_section bb_built=\"1\" admin_label=\"section\" transparent_background=\"off\" allow_player_pause=\"off\" inner_shadow=\"off\" parallax=\"off\" parallax_method=\"off\" make_fullwidth=\"off\" use_custom_width=\"off\" width_unit=\"on\" make_equal=\"off\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" module_class=\"blog_css\"][et_pb_row admin_label=\"row\"][et_pb_column type=\"4_4\"][et_pb_code admin_label=\"CSS\"]<style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#main-footer {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- 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[et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.subscribe_bg input[type=email]{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->border: 1px solid #00964d !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: #ffffff !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 99%!important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 40px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 18px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.subscribe_bg .ajax-loader{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ff_submit{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 2px 20px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 99%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: #00964d !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 42px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->border: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-size: 23px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 28px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: normal !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-family:'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-transform: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.subscribe_bg .wpcf7-not-valid-tip,.subscribe_ff div.wpcf7-validation-errors{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 99%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #ffffff !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_learn_more_text ul{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> list-style-type: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-left: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_text img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->vertical-align: middle;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-bottom: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_text{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 18px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> vertical-align: middle;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> word-wrap: break-word;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_text:after {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> clear: both;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_share img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: 5px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_bottom_text{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #4e81ba;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 14px<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_about_us_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding-right: 80px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f_contact_us_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-right: 52px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bar h4{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_gutters3 .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_grid_item, .et_pb_gutters3 .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_widget, .et_pb_gutters3 .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_shop_grid .woocommerce ul.products li.product, .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_grid_item, .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_widget, .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_shop_grid .woocommerce ul.products li.product, .et_section_specialty .et_pb_row .et_pb_column_2_3 .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row_inner .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_grid_item, .et_section_specialty .et_pb_row .et_pb_column_2_3 .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row_inner .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_widget, .et_section_specialty .et_pb_row .et_pb_column_2_3 .et_pb_gutters3.et_pb_row_inner .et_pb_column_1_3 .et_pb_shop_grid .woocommerce ul.products li.product{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_css{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_posts a.more-link{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->float:right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bar h4{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->color: #0d4c92 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 23px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding: 120px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content p{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 174px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: -webkit-box !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-line-clamp: 7;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-box-orient: vertical;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> overflow: hidden;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-overflow: ellipsis;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_post .entry-featured-image-url{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 25px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: absolute !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 55px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post-meta {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_widget ul li {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 5px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.rpwwt-post-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->height: 50px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: -webkit-box;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-line-clamp: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-box-orient: vertical;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> overflow: hidden;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-overflow: ellipsis;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.rpwwt-post-excerpt{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: -webkit-box;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-line-clamp: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> -webkit-box-orient: vertical;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> overflow: hidden;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-overflow: ellipsis;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #707070;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 12px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.rpwwt-widget ul li a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 14px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 3px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-2 .cat-item a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 32px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #3c3c3c !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 44px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article h2 a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 8px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_top_title {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-size: 38px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #ffffff;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-transform: uppercase;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 4px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_top_text{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #ffffff;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-transform: uppercase;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 195px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 183px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_posts a.more-link{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: #14954a;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #ffffff;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 11px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-meta{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #a3a3a3 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 13px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 10px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 19px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post-content p{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 12px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 18px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #707070 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 24px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-meta .author.vcard a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-style: italic !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #a3a3a3 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 13px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1150px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 60%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1060px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 55%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 980px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->width: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->width:auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 45px 20px 10px 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 80%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_column .et_pb_blog_grid .column.size-1of2, .et_pb_column .et_pb_widget:nth-child(n) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: 0 7.5% 7.5% 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 56% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 230px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 930px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 85%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 870px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 90%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 830px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 97%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 45px 20px 10px 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->width: 280px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding-bottom:20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_post .entry-featured-image-url {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_top_title {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 38px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 34px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article h2 a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 28px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 50px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\"POST CSS\"]<style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1320px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 160px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 160px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 180px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1160px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(2) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display:none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 85px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 390px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts:after {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> clear: both;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article h2 a{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 13.08px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 25px !important ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-top:2px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 0.7em !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 70px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 212px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(1) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 25px ;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts article:nth-child(2) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 25px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .relposts article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 10px 30px 10px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 10px 30px 10px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: 0px 0px 5px silver !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts .et_pb_post .entry-featured-image-url {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-content{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.relposts_title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 70px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul li a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 16px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> line-height: 32px;<!-- 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[et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #3c3c3c;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.widget_categories_jj ul li {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> list-style-type: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #a3a3a3;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 10px 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.share_blog{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin:5px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->div.wp_rp_content {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: inherit !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: inherit !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post_soc {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: -55px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .post-soc-icon a img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon a {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-main_text ul li:before {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 7px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: #00964d;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 50%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 2px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 8px;<!-- 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#0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 400;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 400px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 280px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper .entry-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 8px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-decoration: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single.et_pb_pagebuilder_layout.et_full_width_page .et_post_meta_wrapper {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-meta>a, .comments-number{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single.et_pb_pagebuilder_layout.et_full_width_page .et_post_meta_wrapper {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding: 120px 15px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#left-area {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single .et_pb_post{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.single .et_pb_post{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.subscribe_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 60px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: -60px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.ghj{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->margin-top:40px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: left;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> max-width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 2px solid #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: 2px solid #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.categ_title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->font-weight: bold;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 26px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 10px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.categ_title:after {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '\\f0dd ';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #0d4c92;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: fontawesome;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: 5px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb ul{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#categories-bbb ul.baccc {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 850px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> max-width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.sitebar_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 190px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\"]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(window).scroll(function() {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->if ($(window).scrollTop() >= 400 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"position\",\"fixed\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"top\",\"170px\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->if ($(window).scrollTop() < 400 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"position\",\"absolute\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"top\",\"55px\"); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->if ($(window).width() < 767 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"position\",\"relative\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#tabb\").css(\"top\",\"0px\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Comment CSS\"]<style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#comment-wrap {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.com_title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> color: #00964d;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 20px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-weight: 600;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 36px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 40px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_sect {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_area p{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-size: 18px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-style: italic;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.reply-container,#comments,.comment-reply-title{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob article {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> box-shadow: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 20px 34px 10px 5px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_area{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 90%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: right;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_postinfo {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->img.avatar.avatar-80.photo {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 50px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 50px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 50%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.form-submit{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> right: 25px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> bottom: 30px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_pb_module .et_pb_button:hover, .et_pb_button:hover {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.form-submit input:hover{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 44px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 46px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 50%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.form-submit input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 44px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 46px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-radius: 50%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.form-submit:before {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> content: '';<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 46px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 46px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background-image: url(https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/comment.png);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background-repeat: no-repeat;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> z-index: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-author input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 270px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 36px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-left: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-right: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-color: #d6d6d6 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 44px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-width: 1px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 20px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: transparent !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #ccc !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-email input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 270px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-left: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-right: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-color: #d6d6d6 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 44px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-width: 1px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-right: 5px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: transparent !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #ccc !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-comment textarea{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 560px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 55px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-left: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-right: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-top: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 70px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-color: #d6d6d6 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> font-family: 'Open Sans', sans-serif;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> background: transparent !important; <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border-bottom: 1px solid #ccc !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-notes{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:none;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_sect{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 40px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 50px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> border: 1px solid #707070;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#commentform{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display:flex;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display: -webkit-flex;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->flex-direction: row;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> flex-wrap: wrap;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->p.comment-notes {-webkit-order: 1;}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->p.comment-form-comment 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80%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1150px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-comment textarea{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%!important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-email input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 210px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-author input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 210px!important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 1040px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-comment textarea{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%!important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-email input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 190px !important;<!-- 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[et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-author input{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment-form-author{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 100%;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg >div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 90% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.comment_sect {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 15px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-top: 24px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.com_title {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 16px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-top: 20px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_col {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding-bottom: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon a img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: 0px 4px 0px 4px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post_soc{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> top: 0px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: 0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .et_post_meta_wrapper{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-align: center;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_glob .et_post_meta_wrapper h1{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->text-align: left !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.et_post_meta_wrapper img {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> float: none !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: center !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: auto !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> max-width: 100% !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-meta {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> text-align: left !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.bloggg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->padding-top:0 !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\"]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 2000 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".commentlist\").prepend($(\".comment-respond\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->if ($(window).width() < 2000 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".comment_sect\").prepend($(\".com-title\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\"]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(document).ready(function (){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".categ_title\").click(function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\"#categories-bbb ul\").toggleClass(\"baccc\");<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }) <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=\"1\" admin_label=\"Section\" fullwidth=\"off\" specialty=\"off\" transparent_background=\"off\" allow_player_pause=\"off\" inner_shadow=\"off\" parallax=\"off\" parallax_method=\"off\" make_fullwidth=\"off\" use_custom_width=\"off\" width_unit=\"on\" make_equal=\"off\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" module_class=\"blog_bg\"][et_pb_row admin_label=\"Row\" make_fullwidth=\"off\" use_custom_width=\"off\" width_unit=\"on\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" allow_player_pause=\"off\" parallax=\"off\" parallax_method=\"off\" make_equal=\"off\" parallax_1=\"off\" parallax_method_1=\"off\" module_class=\"blog_top_bgg\"][et_pb_column type=\"4_4\"][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\"]<style> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.blog_bg{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->background-image: url(https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/header.jpg);}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/style>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=\"Text\" background_layout=\"light\" text_orientation=\"center\" use_border_color=\"off\" border_color=\"#ffffff\" border_style=\"solid\" module_class=\"blog_top_title\"]<\/p><p>The Smart Forecaster<\/p><p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_text admin_label=\"Text\" background_layout=\"light\" text_orientation=\"center\" use_border_color=\"off\" border_color=\"#ffffff\" border_style=\"solid\" module_class=\"blog_top_text\"]<\/p><p>Pursuing best practices in demand planning, forecasting and inventory optimization<\/p><p>[\/et_pb_text][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=\"1\" admin_label=\"Section\" fullwidth=\"off\" specialty=\"off\" transparent_background=\"off\" allow_player_pause=\"off\" inner_shadow=\"off\" parallax=\"off\" parallax_method=\"off\" make_fullwidth=\"off\" use_custom_width=\"off\" width_unit=\"on\" make_equal=\"off\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" module_class=\"uuul\"][et_pb_row admin_label=\"Row\"][et_pb_column type=\"4_4\"][et_pb_code admin_label=\"SHARE\" module_class=\"share_blog\"]<!-- Place this tag in your head or just before your close body tag. --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><script src=\"https:\/\/apis.google.com\/js\/platform.js\" async defer><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><div id=\"tabb\" class=\"post_soc\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class='post-soc-icon'><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class=\"tw1\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><img src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/twiter.jpg\" \/><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/share\" class=\"twitter-share-button\" data-dnt=\"true\"><\/a> <script>!function(d,s,id){var js,fjs=d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0],p=\/^http:\/.test(d.location)?'http':'https';if(!d.getElementById(id)){js=d.createElement(s);js.id=id;js.src=p+':\/\/platform.twitter.com\/widgets.js';fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js,fjs);}}(document, 'script', 'twitter-wjs');<\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class=\"f2\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><img src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/fb.jpg\" \/><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class=\"fb_sh\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div id=\"fb-root\"><\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <script>(function(d, s, id) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> var js, fjs = d.getElementsByTagName(s)[0];<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if (d.getElementById(id)) return;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> js = d.createElement(s); js.id = id;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> js.src = \"\/\/connect.facebook.net\/en_US\/sdk.js#xfbml=1&version=v2.9\";<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> fjs.parentNode.insertBefore(js, fjs);<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }(document, 'script', 'facebook-jssdk'));<\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class=\"fb-share-button\" data-layout=\"button_count\" data-size=\"small\" data-mobile-iframe=\"true\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <a class=\"fb-xfbml-parse-ignore\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/sharer\/sharer.php?u&src=sdkpreparse\">Share<\/a><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <div class=\"g3\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><img src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/google.jpg\" \/><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- Place this tag where you want the share button to render. --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><div class=\"g-plus\" data-action=\"share\" data-annotation=\"bubble\" data-height=\"15\"><\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><div class=\"l4\"><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <img class=\"lnimg\" src=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2017\/05\/in.jpg\" \/><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><script src=\"\/\/platform.linkedin.com\/in.js\" type=\"text\/javascript\"> lang: en_US<\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><script type=\"IN\/Share\" data-counter=\"right\"><\/script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/div><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <style><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#tabb{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->z-index: 9999;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post_soc {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-left: -55px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.uuul{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> padding: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.tw1{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.tw1 iframe{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> left: 6px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> z-index: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> .btn {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f2 {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.f2 .fb-share-button{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> left: 1px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> top: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> z-index: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.g3 {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.g3 iframe{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> left: 6px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> z-index: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.l4{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->position: relative;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.l4 .IN-widget{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> position: absolute !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> left: 6px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> opacity: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> z-index: 2;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->@media (max-width: 767px){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.post-soc-icon>div{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> display: inline-block;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin-bottom: 0;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> margin: 0px 4px 0px 4px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->#___plus_0{<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->display: block !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.g3 {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> width: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> height: 34px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.tw1 iframe {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> top: 1px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->left:2px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->.l4 .IN-widget {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> top: 1px;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->left:0px !important;<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> <\/style>[\/et_pb_code][\/et_pb_column][\/et_pb_row][\/et_pb_section][et_pb_section bb_built=\"1\" admin_label=\"Section\" fullwidth=\"off\" specialty=\"on\" transparent_background=\"off\" allow_player_pause=\"off\" inner_shadow=\"off\" parallax=\"off\" parallax_method=\"off\" make_fullwidth=\"off\" use_custom_width=\"off\" width_unit=\"on\" make_equal=\"off\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" parallax_1=\"off\" parallax_method_1=\"off\" parallax_2=\"off\" parallax_method_2=\"off\" module_class=\"bloggg\" module_class_1=\"blog_col\" module_class_2=\"sitebar_col\"][et_pb_column type=\"2_3\" specialty_columns=\"2\"][et_pb_row_inner admin_label=\"Row\" use_custom_gutter=\"off\" make_equal=\"off\" parallax_1=\"off\" parallax_method_1=\"off\" module_class=\"blog_glob\"][et_pb_column_inner type=\"4_4\" saved_specialty_column_type=\"2_3\"][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\" module_class=\"append_categ\"]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. Use $() w\/o colliding with other libs<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->$(window).on('load', function(){<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> if ($(window).width() < 767 ) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> $(\".append_categ\").append($(\"#categories-bbb\"))<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> }<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->}); <!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->});<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --><\/script>[\/et_pb_code][et_pb_text admin_label=\"CONTENT\" background_layout=\"light\" text_orientation=\"left\" use_border_color=\"off\" border_color=\"#ffffff\" border_style=\"solid\" module_class=\"post-main_text\"]<\/p><p>In our travels around the industrial scene, we notice that many companies pay more attention to inventory Turns than they should. We would like to deflect some of this attention to more consequential performance metrics.<\/p><p>Recall the definition: Turns = Annual dollar cost of goods sold \/ Average dollar value of inventory. If you sell $1 million of stuff in a year and have an average of $100,000 of stuff on the shelf each day, you are running at an impressive 10 Turns (Walmart runs at around 8). Supposedly, having high Turns signals efficient management, and keeping your Turns higher than competitors\u2019 signals competitive advantage.<\/p><p>But as happens with most performance metrics, there is more to the story. Turns may be very salient to the CFO, but they can be a straightjacket to the COO. This is because Turns are not directly related to customer service; in fact, high Turns can be synonymous with low service levels and fill rates. S&OP consultant Darrin Oliver calls Turns his \u201cpet peeve metric\u201d because \u201cthe customer doesn\u2019t care about Turns.\u201d<\/p><p>Suppose you are unhappy with your current Turns value. What can you do to boost the number? Since Turns is a ratio, you can increase it by either increasing the numerator (goods sold) or decreasing the denominator (inventory). Increasing sales is more difficult because it requires the cooperation of the customer. Decreasing <a href=\"https:\/\/smartcorp.com\/service-level-driven-demand-planning-webinar\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">inventory<\/a> is easier because it\u2019s completely under your control: just make smaller replenishment orders, which also saves money in the short run. Indeed, you can get very enthusiastic and cut inventory to the bone. You end up with a better looking number for Turns\u2014and a serious problem with stockouts, backorders, lost sales, lost customer good will and lost market share. Who\u2019s sorry now?<\/p><p>Here\u2019s a lightly edited version of a story on this topic told by a very wise practitioner. \u201cBack in my other life they were all about improving Turns. Why, I have no idea. So I pointed out the risks that you run. And they really weren\u2019t interested. So we took our global inventories down to [a lower level], and then were breaking on stock left and right on a daily basis. Our turns were great, but we weren\u2019t making any money, because we couldn\u2019t get anything out the door, because we didn\u2019t own it. The higher your turns, the lower your inventory\u2019s going to have to be, or you\u2019re just going to have really good flow. And in our industry that\u2019s a very, very difficult thing to achieve. So if we can have reasonable Turns but still be in stock, I think that\u2019s what we want to do. It can be very frustrating in an operations world to try to explain what we do every day and what the risks to the business are when the financial people are just looking at one or two metrics. They\u2019re basically trying to plan the business in a vacuum, and it\u2019s very difficult and very risky to do that.\u201d<\/p><p><em>Thomas Willemain, PhD, co-founded Smart Software and currently serves as Senior Vice President for Research. Dr. Willemain also serves as Professor Emeritus of Industrial and Systems Engineering at Rensselear Polytechnic Institute and as a member of the research staff at the Center for Computing Sciences, Institute for Defense Analyses.<\/em><\/p><p>[\/et_pb_text][et_pb_code admin_label=\"Code\" module_class=\"comment_sect\"]<script><!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] -->jQuery(document).ready(function($) {<!-- [et_pb_line_break_holder] --> \/\/ Stuff to do as soon as the DOM is ready. 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